Pre-tourney Rankings
Sacramento St.
Big Sky
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.5#278
Expected Predictive Rating-6.1#257
Pace71.4#138
Improvement-4.3#323

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#298
First Shot-3.8#281
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#265
Layup/Dunks-1.5#249
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#85
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#233
Freethrows-2.2#310
Improvement-5.6#346

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#237
First Shot-0.6#194
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#328
Layups/Dunks-3.6#312
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#26
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#130
Freethrows-0.4#194
Improvement+1.3#103
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 86   @ Arizona St. W 66-63 7%     1 - 0 +12.5 -1.5 +14.0
  Nov 15, 2015 292   @ Seattle W 77-65 43%     2 - 0 +6.3 -5.7 +10.3
  Nov 24, 2015 235   UC Davis W 84-79 50%     3 - 0 -2.4 +9.7 -12.3
  Nov 28, 2015 226   South Dakota L 90-96 47%     3 - 1 -12.7 +11.0 -23.6
  Nov 29, 2015 218   Pacific W 79-71 46%     4 - 1 +1.6 +1.8 -0.5
  Dec 02, 2015 235   @ UC Davis L 61-66 28%     4 - 2 -6.6 -6.4 -0.2
  Dec 07, 2015 267   Incarnate Word W 73-70 57%     5 - 2 -6.4 -1.8 -4.5
  Dec 12, 2015 203   @ Portland L 73-81 23%     5 - 3 -7.9 -12.6 +5.9
  Dec 21, 2015 89   @ Stanford L 60-70 7%     5 - 4 -0.8 -4.2 +2.7
  Jan 02, 2016 259   @ Portland St. L 68-76 34%     5 - 5 0 - 1 -11.2 -13.1 +2.6
  Jan 07, 2016 252   @ Montana St. L 64-71 32%     5 - 6 0 - 2 -9.6 -7.3 -3.0
  Jan 09, 2016 153   @ Montana L 58-77 15%     5 - 7 0 - 3 -15.3 -8.0 -9.1
  Jan 14, 2016 276   Idaho St. W 82-71 61%     6 - 7 1 - 3 +0.7 -1.3 +1.2
  Jan 16, 2016 146   Weber St. L 74-85 29%     6 - 8 1 - 4 -12.9 -2.1 -10.3
  Jan 23, 2016 259   Portland St. L 63-81 56%     6 - 9 1 - 5 -27.0 -12.4 -15.5
  Jan 28, 2016 217   @ Idaho W 65-63 25%     7 - 9 2 - 5 +1.5 +1.4 +0.3
  Jan 30, 2016 205   @ Eastern Washington L 67-74 23%     7 - 10 2 - 6 -6.9 -13.3 +6.5
  Feb 04, 2016 153   Montana W 83-79 30%     8 - 10 3 - 6 +1.9 +3.5 -1.9
  Feb 06, 2016 252   Montana St. L 76-79 53%     8 - 11 3 - 7 -11.4 -9.8 -1.4
  Feb 11, 2016 146   @ Weber St. L 50-63 14%     8 - 12 3 - 8 -9.1 -19.3 +10.2
  Feb 13, 2016 276   @ Idaho St. L 64-66 38%     8 - 13 3 - 9 -6.5 -10.5 +4.1
  Feb 18, 2016 205   Eastern Washington L 88-93 43%     8 - 14 3 - 10 -10.8 -2.3 -8.0
  Feb 20, 2016 217   Idaho W 68-65 45%     9 - 14 4 - 10 -3.3 -5.7 +2.4
  Feb 25, 2016 310   @ Northern Colorado L 67-72 48%     9 - 15 4 - 11 -12.1 -11.2 -0.9
  Feb 27, 2016 200   @ North Dakota L 71-97 22%     9 - 16 4 - 12 -25.5 -5.1 -18.3
  Mar 03, 2016 342   Southern Utah W 69-63 OT 82%     10 - 16 5 - 12 -11.3 -20.7 +8.9
  Mar 05, 2016 345   Northern Arizona W 64-51 83%     11 - 16 6 - 12 -4.8 -12.2 +8.3
  Mar 08, 2016 252   Montana St. W 79-75 42%     12 - 16 -1.5 +0.5 -2.0
  Mar 10, 2016 153   Montana L 53-70 21%     12 - 17 -16.2 -12.5 -6.0
Projected Record 12.0 - 17.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%